Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat odds
Wednesday, October 21 at 7:30 PM ET. Kalshi and Polymarket prices compared with margin-removed sportsbook fair value, refreshed live.
Moneyline prices
Price history (24h)
MIA to win
Order book depth
How each venue settles
Kalshi: NBA game contracts pay $1 per contract for the team that wins the game, including overtime, based on the official league result. Contracts close at or shortly after tip-off.
Polymarket: game markets resolve to the winning team using the official result; postponed games follow the market’s own rules, which can differ from Kalshi’s. Always read the venue’s rules before trading.
Courtside flags contracts whose settlement terms differ, and leaves them out of its edge calculations. Read the methodology →
Common questions
Who is favored in Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat?
Prediction markets currently price MIA to win highest, at 52¢ on Polymarket. A 52¢ contract pays $1 if it wins, which implies roughly a 52% chance before fees.
What are the Kalshi and Polymarket odds for Heat?
Miami Heat trade at 52¢ on Kalshi and 51¢ on Polymarket. The venues differ by 1.0 cents.
When does Timberwolves vs Heat start?
Tip-off is scheduled for Wednesday, October 21 at 7:30 PM ET. Exchange contracts usually stay open until the game starts and settle on the official final result.
How does Courtside compare these prices?
Courtside removes the bookmaker margin from multiple sportsbooks to estimate a fair probability, then compares it with each exchange’s best ask after modeled fees and visible depth. Stale quotes and contracts with different settlement rules are flagged rather than counted.
More NBA games on Oct 21
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